Thursday, October 22, 2009

Pat Buchanan's a moron

http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=113463

He claims, "With black voters going 24 to 1 for Obama, he almost surely won more votes than he lost because of his race."

That's 96% of the black vote going for Obama. An impressive figure, right?

It might or might not be true that Obama won more votes than he lost because of his race. It's not even entirely clear to me what's meant by this statement, and its truth value might differ depending on what's meant.

But in recent years, in national elections, black voters always vote overwhelmingly Democratic. Black voters broke 9 to 1 for Kerry (90%), and constitute less than 10 percent of the electorate. If Obama gained 6% of the black vote relative to Kerry because of his race, that's 0.6% of the overall electorate. Is Buchanan sure that Obama didn't lose more than 0.6% of the vote because of his race??

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